No. 17 Florida and No. 3 Georgia will renew their rivalry at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta on Saturday, with the annual "World's Biggest Outdoor Cocktail Party" moving indoors while Jacksonville's stadium undergoes renovation. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30 p.m. ET.
Both teams enter off bye weeks. Georgia aims to rebound from a 27-24 home loss to Auburn, while Florida arrives after a 27-24 road upset of Texas. The Bulldogs have won the last five meetings, each by 14 or more points.
Odds and betting lines
Georgia opens as an 11.5-point favorite, with the over/under set at 56.5 points. The money line lists Georgia at -455 (risk $455 to win $100) and Florida at +360.
Model projections
The SportsLine Projection Model, which simulates each FBS game 10,000 times, projects the total to finish under 56.5 points, with a combined score of 51 points in 63% of simulations. The model also indicates one side of the spread hits in nearly 60% of simulations. Entering Week 9, the model holds a 68-59 record on top-rated college football picks.
Key players and statistics
Georgia's offense averages 39.7 points per game, led by quarterback Gunner Stockton (1,570 passing yards, 16 touchdowns). Florida averages 37.5 points per game, but its quarterback situation remains uncertain: Aaron Philo (shoulder) and Tramell Jones Jr. have both practiced, and coach Jon Sumrall has not named a starter. Running back Jadan Baugh has rushed for 763 yards and 13 touchdowns, serving as the Gators' primary ground weapon.
Defensively, Georgia has held opponents to 20 points or fewer in all but one game this season, and its last four contests have finished under the posted total. Florida's defense limited Texas to 24 points after allowing 38 and 45 points to South Carolina and Missouri, respectively.
