An AFC West rematch with significant division implications highlights the NFL Week 8 schedule as the Denver Broncos host the Kansas City Chiefs at Empower Field at Mile High. Kickoff is set for 4:25 p.m. ET. The Chiefs (5-1) and Broncos (5-2) both enter the game in strong form. Kansas City suffered its first loss of the season, a 20-3 defeat at Seattle, while Denver has won three consecutive games.
The Broncos have won the last three meetings on their home field. Denver cornerback Patrick Surtain II is expected to return after missing three games due to an ankle injury.
Betting Odds
The latest odds list Kansas City as a 1.5-point favorite. The over/under for total points is 41.5. The money line has the Chiefs at -112 and the Broncos at -103.
Model Projections
SportsLine's simulation model, which has returned over $5,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception, projects the Under 41.5 points. The Under has hit in five of seven Broncos games and four of six Chiefs games this season. Kansas City has held three of six opponents to 10 points or fewer, while Denver ranks in the bottom 10 in both rushing and passing offense. The Broncos' defense has allowed between 14 and 17 points in each of its last three victories.
The Chiefs' offense is led by running back Kenneth Walker III, who has accumulated 701 rushing yards. Denver prefers a run-first approach. With both teams aiming to limit possessions, the model projects 41 combined points, giving the Under a 55% value probability. The model also indicates one side of the spread hits in over 50% of simulations.
