The No. 17 Florida Gators will take on the No. 3 Georgia Bulldogs in a pivotal SEC matchup at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta on Saturday at 3:30 p.m. ET. The game, traditionally known as the "World's Biggest Outdoor Cocktail Party," moves indoors for 2026 due to Jacksonville's stadium renovation.
Both teams enter off bye weeks. Georgia aims to rebound from a 27-24 home loss to Auburn, while Florida arrives after a 27-24 road upset of Texas. Georgia has won the last five meetings, each by 14 or more points.
The latest odds list Georgia as an 11.5-point favorite with an over/under of 56.5 points. The Bulldogs are -455 on the money line, while Florida is +360.
A projection model that simulates each FBS game 10,000 times predicts the total points will go under 56.5, projecting 51 combined points. The model indicates the under hits 63% of the time. Additionally, one side of the spread is projected to hit nearly 60% of simulations.
Georgia's offense, led by quarterback Gunner Stockton (1,570 yards, 16 touchdowns), averages 39.7 points per game. Florida's quarterback situation remains uncertain with Aaron Philo (shoulder) and Tramell Jones Jr. both practicing; coach Jon Sumrall has not named a starter. Running back Jadan Baugh (763 yards, 13 touchdowns) is the Gators' primary ground weapon.
Defensively, Georgia has held opponents to 20 points or fewer in four straight games. Florida's defense limited Texas to 24 points after allowing 38 and 45 points to South Carolina and Missouri respectively.
