The Philadelphia Eagles (2-5) aim to end a five-game losing streak against the Washington Commanders (1-4-1) in an NFC East matchup on Sunday Night Football. Kickoff is set for 8:20 p.m. ET at Northwest Stadium in Landover, Maryland.
Both teams face significant injuries. Washington receiver Terry McLaurin (knee) and Philadelphia quarterback Jalen Hurts (blood clots) are out for the season. Eagles receivers DeVonta Smith (hamstring) and Dontayvion Wicks (ankle) have been ruled out for this game.
The latest odds have Washington as a 6-point favorite, up from an opening line of -3.5. The over/under for total points is 40.5, down half a point from the opener. Money line: Commanders -260, Eagles +225.
A proven simulation model that has returned over $5,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since inception projects the game to go over 40.5 points. The model entered Week 8 of the 2026 NFL season on a 58-51 run on top-rated picks dating back to 2024. In 10,000 simulations, the over hits 54% of the time with a projected 43 combined points.
The over has hit in eight of the last 10 head-to-head matchups, including 46 points in their last meeting on Sept. 13. It has also hit in five of the last nine Philadelphia games and eight of the last 10 Washington games.
Philadelphia's offense relies on running back Saquon Barkley, who has carried 43 times for 244 yards and one touchdown in five games despite a back issue. Washington quarterback Jayden Daniels has completed 64.7% of his passes for 759 yards, five touchdowns, and no interceptions in four starts, adding 213 rushing yards and two touchdowns on 25 carries.
The model also indicates one side of the spread hits in more than 50% of simulations. Detailed picks are available via the model's platform.
