NFL Week 8 betting guide highlights five heavy favorites and trends favoring underdogs.
Heavy favorites and ATS trends
There are five favorites of -6 or more: Jaguars (-10) vs. Colts, Cowboys (-7) vs. Cardinals, Bengals (-12.5) vs. Titans, Rams (-6.5) vs. Chargers, Patriots (-7) vs. Dolphins. This season, such favorites are 8-21-3 against the spread, covering only 27.5% of the time.
Chiefs vs. Broncos under trend
The last seven meetings between Kansas City and Denver have gone under the total. Week 8 spread has Chiefs favored by 1.5 with a total of 40.5.
SportsLine model parlay and DFS picks
SportsLine's model, which simulates each game 10,000 times, has built a five-team parlay paying around 25-1. One leg backs Over 46.5 points in Jaguars vs. Colts, with the model forecasting 56 combined points and the Over hitting 66% of simulations. For DFS, the optimizer highlights Cowboys RB Javonte Williams and Bengals WR Tee Higgins among top picks for the main Sunday slate.
Fantasy football rankings
The model projects Jaguars TE Brenton Strange as a top-8 fantasy tight end for Week 8, with full positional rankings available.
Model performance and expert picks
The model enters Week 8 on a 58-51 run on top-rated picks since 2024. It favors the Rams (-6.5, 45.5) covering against the Chargers, cashing 55% of simulations.
Lions vs. Vikings
Expert Larry Harstein (7-2 on his last nine ATS picks) backs Detroit (-3.5) to cover versus Minnesota. He cites Brian Branch's return and Aaron Jones' knee injury for the Vikings.
Commanders vs. Eagles (Sunday Night Football)
Emory Hunt (31-18-2 on his last 51 Eagles picks) backs Washington (-6.5) to cover and leans under 40.5 points, noting the Eagles' injuries to Jalen Hurts and DeVonta Smith.
Seahawks vs. Bears (Monday Night Football)
R.J. White, SportsLine's top NFL expert, backs Seattle (-3) to cover, pointing to the Seahawks' top-ranked pass defense and the Bears' league-worst 6.3 yards per play allowed.
