The Detroit Lions (4-2) will host the undefeated Minnesota Vikings (6-0) on Sunday at Ford Field, with kickoff scheduled for 1 p.m. ET. The Lions enter as 3-point favorites according to DraftKings Sportsbook, with the over/under set at 46.5 points.
Team Contrasts
The Vikings have maintained a perfect record largely through a defense that allows an NFL-low 12.3 points per game. However, their offense has not scored more than 23 points since the season opener and has failed to reach 20 points three times. The Lions, meanwhile, boast the league's second-highest scoring offense at 30.7 points per game but have given up the most yards per game (391).
Key Matchup
Jared Goff leads the NFL in EPA against the blitz, a significant factor against a Vikings defense coordinated by Brian Flores that blitzes on 70% of play calls. Goff's ability to handle pressure, combined with running back Jahmyr Gibbs, could prove decisive.
Model Projection
The SportsLine Projection Model, which simulates each game 10,000 times, has the Lions covering the 3-point spread at a 53% rate. The model entered Week 8 on a 58-51 run on top-rated picks dating back to 2024.
