The Kansas City Chiefs (5-1) and Denver Broncos (5-2) meet in an AFC West rematch with division implications on Sunday at Empower Field at Mile High. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:25 p.m. ET. Kansas City won the first meeting 31-10 in Week 1, but Denver has won three straight games and the last three home meetings against the Chiefs.
Key Storylines
Star cornerback Patrick Surtain II returns for Denver after a three-game absence due to an ankle injury. The Chiefs are coming off their first loss, a 20-3 defeat at Seattle. Denver's defense has held its last three opponents to between 14 and 17 points.
Betting Odds and Model Projection
Kansas City is a 1.5-point favorite with an over/under of 41.5 points. The money line lists Chiefs -112, Broncos -103. A proven simulation model that has returned over $5,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since 2024 projects the Under 41.5 points, citing the Chiefs' defense limiting three of six opponents to 10 points or fewer and Denver ranking in the bottom-10 in both rushing and passing offense. The model also indicates one side of the spread hits over 50% of the time.
