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Ohio State's CFP Hopes Dim After USC Upset, Quarterback Questions Mount

Ohio State's CFP Hopes Dim After USC Upset, Quarterback Questions Mount
World Sports · 20:58:51 - Wednesday, 4 November 2026

No. 2 Ohio State suffered a stunning 30-18 loss to USC, dropping the Buckeyes to 6-2 and marking the first time since 2011 that the program has recorded two losses before November. The defeat is only the second unranked loss of Ryan Day's tenure, joining the 2024 loss to Michigan. Starting quarterback Julian Sayin was injured in the second half of a win over No. 5 Indiana, adding to the uncertainty.

Despite the setback, Ohio State remains in the College Football Playoff mix thanks to impressive victories over No. 14 Iowa and No. 5 Indiana. Quality matchups remain against Oregon and No. 20 Northwestern. CBS Sports projects the Buckeyes as a 7-seed with an 11-2 record and a loss in the Big Ten title game against undefeated UCLA. However, another regular-season loss would likely keep them out of the field.

With Sayin likely out for the season, true freshman Luke Fahey earned the starting nod over highly touted recruit Tavien St. Clair. Fahey struggled with downfield accuracy, failing to surpass 150 passing yards until late in the fourth quarter. St. Clair possesses a more impressive physical profile but faces questions about his familiarity with the offense after transitioning from a smaller high school program. Coach Ryan Day may need to open a genuine competition between the two.

Ohio State's defense, a mainstay over the past three seasons, regressed against USC. The Trojans, held to seven points the previous week, scored 30 points and exploited multiple breakdowns in the passing game. Wide receiver Trent Mosley opened the game with a 69-yard touchdown, and tight end Mark Bowman added a 70-yard catch-and-run. The Buckeyes' pass rush was largely ineffective against a USC offense that has struggled to win up front.

Star receiver Jeremiah Smith remained productive with 10 catches for 83 yards and a late touchdown, but his yards per reception plummeted from a season average of 19.0 to 8.3 with Fahey under center. While Smith continues to be targeted frequently, his downfield impact is limited by the quarterback play, potentially affecting his Heisman Trophy candidacy.

The loss raises questions about Day's ability to elevate a roster that ranks No. 5 in the 247Sports Talent Composite, its lowest since the metric's inception. Outside of Smith, Ohio State lacks a player in the top 50 of NFL Draft prospect rankings. Critics have long suggested Day inherited a championship-caliber program; the current stretch will test whether he can coach up a deficient roster.

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