Baltimore Ravens (4-4) will start undrafted rookie quarterback Joe Fagnano against the Jacksonville Jaguars (5-2) on Thursday Night Football after injuries to Lamar Jackson (thumb) and backup Tyler Huntley (toe) landed both on injured reserve. Fagnano, 25, completed 10 of 21 passes for 91 yards with one interception and three sacks in his relief appearance during a 36-10 loss to the Buffalo Bills last week. Jacksonville enters on a four-wins-in-five-games streak, highlighted by a 42-7 rout of the Indianapolis Colts where Trevor Lawrence threw three touchdown passes and Bhayshul Tuten posted career highs of 104 rushing yards and 55 receiving yards. Tuten is questionable for Thursday with an ankle injury. The Jaguars are 10-point favorites in consensus odds, and the SportsLine Projection Model favors the Over 39.5 total points (64% of simulations). Expert Eric Cohen projects Lawrence under 29.5 pass attempts (-101).
NBA: Heat at Warriors
Miami Heat visit Golden State Warriors at 10 p.m. ET on NBA TV. Both teams rank among the league's top scorers (Heat 7th at 118 PPG, Warriors 10th at 117.5 PPG). Five of Miami's eight games have exceeded 237 combined points. SportsLine Model leans Over 234.5 (-111). Klay Thompson, who scored 30 points in an overtime win over the Clippers, is projected under 13.5 points (-125) by expert Alex Selesnick.
NHL: Canucks at Jets
Vancouver Canucks face Winnipeg Jets at 8 p.m. ET on ESPN+. Neither team is an offensive juggernaut (Canucks tied 14th with 51 goals, Jets 27th with 39). The Model projects Under 6.5 total goals (-118) with a 66% simulation hit rate and an "A" grade.
College Football: UTSA at Florida Atlantic
UTSA Roadrunners meet Florida Atlantic Owls at 7:30 p.m. ET on ESPN. Both rank among the nation's top 40 scoring offenses (UTSA 14th at 37.8 PPG, FAU tied 36th at 33.5 PPG). However, only one UTSA game has topped 72 points, and the Model expects Under 72.5 (-112) with a 71% simulation probability.
