CBS Sports' NFL analyst enters Week 9 with a 20-19-1 record on locks of the week against the spread (ATS) and an overall 53-65-3 ATS mark, plus a 75-45-1 moneyline record. Five locks highlight the slate, with Tennessee and Pittsburgh on bye.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Chicago Bears (Sunday, 8:20 p.m. ET)
The Bears, riding a three-game win streak, host a Buccaneers offense that has completed just 7 of 14 passes for 64 yards over its last two games. Chicago is 3-1 ATS at home. Projected score: Bears 28, Buccaneers 20. Pick: Bears -6.5.
Green Bay Packers at New England Patriots (Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET)
Drake Maye leads the NFL in total yards and touchdowns from Weeks 4-8, but faces a Packers defense allowing 14.6 points per game over five games (third in NFL). Jordan Love leads in passing yards and 20-plus air-yard completions. Projected score: Packers 23, Patriots 21. Pick: Packers +3.
Los Angeles Rams at Washington Commanders (Sunday, 1 p.m. ET)
Jayden Daniels posted a 17.2% off-target rate in Week 8, third-highest of his career. The Rams defense allows 301.1 total yards per game (fifth in league). Washington is 0-5 following a win since last season with a -9.0 points-per-game differential. Projected score: Rams 27, Commanders 21. Pick: Rams -5.5.
Dallas Cowboys at Indianapolis Colts (Sunday, 1 p.m. ET)
Indianapolis has lost 2-13 over its last 15 games, allowing 27.8 points per game (third-highest). Daniel Jones owns a 68.7 passer rating (worst in NFL) and is 3-10 as starter since Week 9 last year with 13 TDs and 20 turnovers. Jonathan Taylor played a season-low 62.3% of snaps in Week 8. Projected score: Cowboys 30, Colts 17. Pick: Cowboys -6.
Buffalo Bills at Minnesota Vikings (Monday, 8:15 p.m. ET)
Minnesota's offense averages 279.4 yards per game (fourth-lowest) and 20 points per game (sixth-lowest). Buffalo leads the league with 33.3 points per game and scores touchdowns on 70% of red-zone trips (fifth-highest). Projected score: Bills 24, Vikings 17. Pick: Bills -3.5.
Remaining Week 9 Selections
Other projected scores and picks: Jaguars 28, Ravens 16 (Jaguars -9.5); Bengals 27, Falcons 26 (Falcons +3); Chiefs 30, Jets 20 (Chiefs -9.5); Lions 34, Dolphins 23 (Lions -7); Saints 24, Browns 20 (Saints -2.5); Giants 24, Eagles 17 (Giants -3.5); Broncos 21, Panthers 20 (Panthers +3); Texans 24, Chargers 20 (Chargers +4.5); 49ers 27, Raiders 20 (Raiders +10); Seahawks 33, Cardinals 20 (Seahawks -10.5).
