Fantasy baseball drafts for the 2027 season have begun on the NFBC platform, with 18 completed best-ball drafts providing the first ADP data. The early results come with significant caveats due to the small sample, non-standard league formats, and the ongoing MLB offseason uncertainty including a potential lockout and new collective bargaining agreement.
Shohei Ohtani holds the No. 2 overall spot despite finishing as the No. 40 hitter in 2026 and turning 33 mid-season. His dual-role injury risk and reduced stolen base upside are concerns, but his 2024 season (.300 average, 50+ homers) and 2025 pace (.293, 40 homers) keep him near the top.
Aaron Judge is slipping toward the end of the first round after being a consensus top-five pick for years. The 35-year-old missed 106 games in 2026 and saw his strikeout rate jump from 24% to 30%, while his expected wOBA on contact lead narrowed to just four-thousandths of a point over James Wood.
Rookie Konnor Griffin is going in the second round after 80 games (.272 avg, 12 HR, 46 SB pace). His second-half surge (.297, 16 HR, 50 SB over 61 games) suggests higher upside, but the price requires improvement.
Jacob Misiorowski is the clear No. 1 starting pitcher at 9.12 ADP, well ahead of Tarik Skubal at 14.06. Paul Skenes sits at SP8 (ADP around 21-40) despite velocity concerns late in 2026, while Zack Wheeler falls to SP15 amid age (37) and thoracic outlet surgery questions.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. remains a top-75 pick, his cheapest since debut, reflecting inconsistent finishes (top-30 twice, outside top-200 twice in last five years). Cal Raleigh holds around pick 90 in two-catcher leagues after injury-plagued 2026. Mookie Betts is not a top-12 shortstop as stolen bases (two in 2026) and batting average (.260 range) decline at age 34. Alex Bregman falls outside the top 100 at third base despite answering Wrigley Field questions in 2026, with the Cubs lineup potentially weakening.
