An ACC title elimination game highlights Friday night college football action as the SMU Mustangs host the Virginia Tech Hokies at Gerald J. Ford Stadium in Dallas. Both teams enter with 6-2 overall records and two conference losses; a third defeat would all but eliminate the loser from ACC Championship Game contention behind Miami (6-0) and Wake Forest (5-1).
Team Form
The Hokies, led by first-year coach James Franklin, return from a bye following a gritty 20-16 win at Clemson. SMU, coming off a 30-27 road loss at Syracuse, boasts a 5-0 home record this season.
Odds and Predictions
Kickoff is set for 7 p.m. ET. The Mustangs are 6.5-point favorites with an over/under of 56.5 points. The money line lists SMU at -215 and Virginia Tech at +185. The SportsLine Projection Model, after simulating the game 10,000 times, leans toward the Under 56.5 points, a trend supported by SMU hitting the under in five of eight games this year, including four of their last five. Virginia Tech has gone under in two of its last three games and three of four road games. Both defenses rank in the top half of the conference: Virginia Tech fifth allowing 20.5 points per game, SMU seventh at 22.3 points per game. The model projects 56 combined points, with the under hitting in 51% of simulations. Additionally, the model indicates one side of the spread hits in 60% of simulations, though that specific pick is available only via SportsLine.
SportsLine's model entered Week 10 on an 80-77 run on all top-rated college football picks at betting sites.
