The Philadelphia 76ers (6-1) host the Chicago Bulls (1-5) on Monday at 7:30 p.m. ET at Xfinity Mobile Arena in the first of two meetings this week. Philadelphia has won three consecutive games, each by exactly five points, while Chicago has dropped four straight, including a 125-111 loss to Boston on Friday. Joel Embiid is listed as questionable with a foot injury.
The 76ers are 10.5-point favorites with an over/under of 238.5 points. The SportsLine Projection Model, which has returned nearly $19,000 in profit on top-rated NBA picks since 2018, leans heavily toward the Under after 10,000 simulations. Recent history supports that trend: three of the last four and 10 of the last 12 matchups between these teams have finished below the total. Chicago leads the NBA in pace but ranks in the bottom two in both field-goal and three-point percentage, while Philadelphia allows the second-fewest points per game but sits 25th in scoring. The model projects just 227 total points, with the Under hitting in 68% of simulations. It also indicates one side of the spread covers nearly 60% of the time.
