UTSA Roadrunners (7-1, 4-0 American Athletic Conference) visit FAU Owls (5-3, 2-2) on Thursday at 7:30 p.m. ET at Flagler Credit Union Stadium in Boca Raton, Florida.
Series History and Odds
FAU leads the all-time series 3-2, but UTSA has won the last two meetings. The Roadrunners are 7-point favorites with an over/under of 72.5 points, the highest total in Week 10. UTSA is listed at -278 on the money line, while FAU is +225.
Model Prediction
The SportsLine Projection Model, which simulates each game 10,000 times, projects the Under 72.5 points, with a 71% hit rate and an expected 63 combined points. The model notes UTSA's lower-scoring road games (averaging 46 points away vs. 73 at home) and FAU's recent turnover issues (six giveaways in last three games) as factors. The model also indicates one side of the spread hits in nearly 60% of simulations.
