No. 12 Ohio State Buckeyes host No. 23 Oregon Ducks in a Big Ten matchup at Ohio Stadium in Columbus, Ohio, on Saturday at 3:30 p.m. ET. The Buckeyes enter with a 6-2 overall record and 4-1 in conference play, while the Ducks are 5-3 overall and 3-2 in the Big Ten.
Both teams will be without their starting quarterbacks. Ohio State's Julian Sayin is out with an arm injury, and Oregon's Dante Moore is sidelined with a concussion. Ohio State receiver Brandon Inniss is listed as doubtful.
Ohio State is a 7.5-point favorite with an over/under of 44.5 points. The money line has Ohio State at -294 and Oregon at +245.
Model Predictions
The SportsLine Projection Model, which simulates each game 10,000 times, projects the total points to go over 44.5. The model notes that each of the last four meetings between the teams have exceeded 60 combined points, and the over has hit in all four Ohio State home games this season as well as in two of three Oregon road games. Additionally, the over is 5-1 in Oregon's last six games as an underdog.
Backup quarterbacks performed well in Week 9: Oregon's Dylan Raiola threw for 336 yards and three touchdowns, while Ohio State true freshman Luke Fahey passed for 260 yards, one touchdown, and zero turnovers at USC. The model projects over 500 combined passing yards and gives the over a 56% hit rate in simulations.
The model also indicates one side of the spread hits in over 60% of simulations. The game will be broadcast on CBS and streamed on Paramount+.
