The Green Bay Packers and New England Patriots, both 5-3 and coming off victories, meet Sunday in NFL Week 9 at Gillette Stadium in Foxborough, Massachusetts. Kickoff is set for 1 p.m. ET. Jordan Love threw three touchdown passes in Green Bay's Thursday night win over Carolina, while Drake Maye also tossed three touchdowns in New England's 24-19 victory at Miami.
Betting Odds
According to DraftKings Sportsbook, the Patriots are 3-point home favorites. The money line lists Green Bay at +142 and New England at -170. The over/under for total points opened at 46.5 and is also listed at 44.5 (Over -112, Under -108). The spread remains Patriots -3.
Team Previews
Green Bay has won four of its last five games. Love has thrown for at least 270 yards in four of those contests, including 288 yards against the Panthers. Receivers Christian Watson (113 yards) and Matthew Golden (79 yards, one touchdown) combined for 15 receptions, while tight end Tucker Kraft added six catches for 63 yards and a score. Running back Josh Jacobs contributed 52 yards and two touchdowns. The Packers defense sacked Bryce Young six times and has not allowed more than 20 points in any of the past five games. Watson suffered a broken rib but returned to the game after a hospital visit. Green Bay is 2-2 on the road this season.
New England has won three straight at home and is 9-3 at Gillette Stadium since the start of last season. Maye has averaged 279.6 passing yards with 14 touchdowns and only two interceptions over his last five games after throwing six picks in the first three weeks. The Patriots have five pass-catchers with at least 200 receiving yards, and running back Rhamondre Stevenson has 579 total yards and three touchdowns. New England's defense has 22 sacks, led by Elijah Ponder with six. The Patriots average 23.0 points per game, while Green Bay averages 21.4; both defenses allow just over 20 points per contest.
Head-to-Head and Trends
New England won three of the previous four meetings before losing 27-24 in overtime at Lambeau Field in 2022. The teams have played only seven times since Green Bay defeated New England in the Super Bowl after the 1996 season. Six of Green Bay's eight games have gone under the total, while five of New England's eight have gone over. Against the spread, the Patriots are 3-4-1 overall and 2-1 at home; the Packers are 5-3 overall and 2-2 on the road.
Prediction and Expert Pick
The SportsLine Projection Model, which simulates each game 10,000 times and has returned over $5,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since inception, entered Week 9 of the 2026 season on a 60-51 run dating back to 2024. The model gives Green Bay a 49% win probability as a plus-money underdog and projects the Packers to cover the spread 53% of the time. SportsLine NFL expert R.J. White also backs Green Bay to cover, stating: "The Patriots' offensive surge has coincided with a slate of bad defensive opponents, so if Jordan Love can have success against a defense that gave up 26+ points to the Jaguars, Bills and Bears, the Packers could certainly win this game." The recommended best bet is Packers +3. Promotional offers noted include a Kalshi promo code CBSSPORTS55 for a $55 bonus, a DraftKings promo code for a $200 bonus and three free months of NBA League Pass with a $5+ wager, and a BetMGM bonus code CBSSPORTS for up to $1,500 in bonus bets.
