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NFL Week 8 Odds and Predictions from Computer Simulations

NFL Week 8 Odds and Predictions from Computer Simulations
Other Sports · 14:06:42 - Friday, 30 October 2026

All 16 NFL Week 8 games will be played domestically, with several matchups that could be playoff rematches. Key spreads include the Buffalo Bills favored by 3 points over the Baltimore Ravens, the Detroit Lions by 3.5 over the Minnesota Vikings, and the Kansas City Chiefs by 1.5 over the Denver Broncos. The New England Patriots are 7-point road favorites against the Miami Dolphins, making them the third-largest road favorite of the season.

Computer Model Projections

SportsLine's computer model, which simulates each game 10,000 times, has returned more than $5,000 for $100 players on top-rated picks since its inception. Entering Week 8 of the 2026 season, the model is on a 58-51 run on top-rated picks dating back to 2024.

Top Predictions

The model strongly backs the Pittsburgh Steelers (-3.5) to cover at home against the Cleveland Browns. Pittsburgh has won 22 consecutive home games versus Cleveland dating back to 2004 and is 3-0 against the spread at home this season. The model projects the Steelers to cover in over 60% of simulations.

Another highlighted pick is the Los Angeles Rams (-6.5) covering against the Los Angeles Chargers. The Chargers have lost nine straight games dating to last season, with quarterback Justin Herbert throwing 12 turnovers against six touchdowns over that span. The Rams are 6-2 against the spread in non-conference games since 2025, the second-best mark in the NFL. The model sees Los Angeles winning by more than a touchdown, with the over hitting in over 60% of simulations.

Week 8 Schedule and Lines

Notable spreads for the week include the Cincinnati Bengals favored by 11.5 over the Tennessee Titans, the Jacksonville Jaguars by 10 over the Indianapolis Colts, and the Rams by 6.5 over the Chargers. The Chargers remain the only winless team against the spread this season. The full slate of games, spreads, and totals is available from sportsbooks.

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