Canelo Alvarez will face Christian Mbilli for the WBC super middleweight title in a 12-round main event on Saturday at Kingdom Arena in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia. The main card begins at 1 p.m. ET and will be streamed on DAZN pay-per-view.
Alvarez, 36, aims to regain the WBC title he lost via unanimous decision to Terence Crawford on September 13, 2025. Mbilli, 31, captured the WBC interim super middleweight title in June 2025 with a first-round knockout of Maciej Sulecki and retained it with a split-decision draw against Lester Martinez on September 13, 2025.
Alvarez enters as a -320 betting favorite (wager $320 to win $100), while Mbilli is priced at +230 (wager $100 to win $230). The over/under for total rounds is set at 11.5.
SportsLine expert Josh Nagel, who has profited over $2,500 on combat sports picks in 2025, recommends backing Under 11.5 rounds at +250. Nagel notes that four of Mbilli's last six fights have ended in six rounds or fewer, and Alvarez has recorded 39 early finishes in his career.
Nagel also has additional picks on the money line and method-of-victory props, including one offering nearly +2000, available exclusively on SportsLine.
Alvarez holds a professional record of 63-3-2 with 39 knockouts. Six of his last eight victories came by unanimous decision. Mbilli remains undefeated at 29-0-1 with 24 knockouts, having won titles at youth, Francophone, Continental Americas, and interim world levels.
