The Baylor Bears (4-3, 2-2 Big 12) visit the Central Florida Knights (4-3, 2-2 Big 12) for a Friday night conference matchup at Acrisure Bounce House in Orlando, Florida. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET. Baylor enters after a 25-24 loss at Kansas, while UCF earned a controversial 39-31 overtime win over BYU. The Bears are 1-1 on the road this season; the Knights are 4-0 at home in 2026. Baylor leads the all-time series 2-1, including a 30-3 victory last year.
Baylor is a 1.5-point favorite with an over/under of 48.5 points and a money line of Baylor -130, UCF +110. Both teams are 5-2 against the spread this season. The SportsLine Projection Model, which simulates each game 10,000 times and entered Week 9 on a 68-59 run on top-rated college football picks, projects the Over 48.5 points as a value play, hitting in 63% of simulations. The model forecasts 54 combined points, with Baylor quarterback D.J. Lagway throwing for over 260 yards and two touchdowns, and UCF quarterback Keyone Jenkins exceeding 210 yards and two scores. The model also indicates one side of the spread hits in well over 50% of simulations. The game will be streamed on Fubo.
