The Baltimore Ravens host the Jacksonville Jaguars in the Week 9 Thursday Night Football matchup, with several key player props drawing attention from betting models. Quarterback Lamar Jackson is sidelined with a thumb injury, shifting focus to Jacksonville's Trevor Lawrence, Baltimore's Derrick Henry, and emerging two-way talent Travis Hunter.
Key Player Props
SportsLine's Machine Learning AI model projects Lawrence to go under 237.5 passing yards at -114 odds, rating it a 4.5-star prop. Excluding two London games, Lawrence has fallen short of his passing yardage projection in four consecutive U.S. games. Despite leading the NFL in passer rating, he ranks 23rd in pass attempts, suggesting a lower-volume approach.
Henry faces the Jaguars' top-ranked run defense and has not exceeded 58 rushing yards in his last three outings. His rushing yards prop is set at 70.5, with the under presenting potential value. Meanwhile, Hunter, who recorded his first career punt return last week, is listed at +800 to score a touchdown anytime.
Game Script and Trends
The Ravens allowed 146 rushing yards in their previous game, the second-highest total they have conceded over the past calendar year. Jacksonville rushed for 183 yards in its last contest, its most in 15 games. With rain forecasted, the Jaguars are expected to lean heavily on the ground game, which could further limit Lawrence's passing opportunities. The model projects Lawrence for 197.9 passing yards on average.
SportsLine's model has identified ten additional NFL props rated four stars or better, several offering plus-money returns, for inclusion in same-game parlays.
