The Tennessee Volunteers host the Kentucky Wildcats in a Week 10 SEC matchup at Neyland Stadium in Knoxville, Tennessee. Kickoff is scheduled for 6:15 p.m. ET, with Tennessee wearing their "dark mode" uniforms.
Kentucky enters with a 7-1 overall record and 5-1 in SEC play, ranked No. 6 in the initial College Football Playoff rankings. Tennessee is 6-2 overall and 3-2 in the SEC, ranked No. 13, placing them just outside the playoff field. Historically, Tennessee leads the series 85-26-9, though this Kentucky team is considered one of the strongest to visit Knoxville in recent years.
Betting odds list Tennessee as 6-point favorites with an over/under of 49.5 points. The money line has Tennessee at -205 and Kentucky at +184.
A projection model simulating the game 10,000 times favors the Under on the total, projecting 46 combined points with the Under hitting in 56% of simulations. Tennessee's defense ranks third in the SEC in scoring defense, allowing 16.3 points per game. The Volunteers are 6-2 to the Under this season, and all three SEC home games have gone Under by at least two touchdowns. Kentucky has also gone Under in its last two games after a stretch of Over results.
The model also indicates one side of the spread hits in well over 50% of simulations, though the specific side is not publicly disclosed. The model entered Week 10 on an 80-77 run on top-rated college football picks.
