The top-ranked Miami Hurricanes (8-0) will face the No. 11 Notre Dame Fighting Irish (7-1) on Saturday in a matchup with significant College Football Playoff implications. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET at Notre Dame Stadium in Notre Dame, Indiana.
Game Overview
Miami leads the ACC with a 6-0 conference record and is 4-0 on the road this season, standing as one of three remaining unbeaten Power 4 teams. The Fighting Irish are 3-0 at home but 0-1 against ranked opponents. Miami wide receiver Malachi Toney will miss the game due to an ankle injury.
Odds and Lines
Notre Dame opened as a 5.5-point favorite and has moved to a 7-point favorite. The over/under is set at 54.5 points. On the money line, Notre Dame is listed at -278 while Miami sits at +235.
Model Predictions
An advanced projection model simulating the game 10,000 times leans toward the Under 54.5 points. The Under has hit in three of the last five head-to-head meetings and in Notre Dame's most recent game. The Fighting Irish defense allows 13.4 points per game, tied for fifth-best nationally, while Miami allows 17.8 points per game, ranking 21st. The model projects a combined total of 51 points, with the Under hitting 58% of simulations.
Key Players
Miami quarterback Darian Mensah is projected to throw for over 260 yards and two touchdowns. This season he has passed for 2,425 yards with 25 touchdowns and one interception. Notre Dame quarterback C.J. Carr is projected to throw for nearly 250 yards and two touchdowns, having accumulated 1,849 yards, 18 touchdowns, and one interception on the year.
The model also identifies one side of the spread as offering better value. The system entered Week 10 on an 80-77 run on top-rated college football picks.
