The highly anticipated SEC showdown between the No. 17 Florida Gators and No. 3 Georgia Bulldogs is set for 3:30 p.m. ET at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta, with Jacksonville's stadium under renovation. The game, known as the "World's Biggest Outdoor Cocktail Party," moves indoors for 2026.
Both teams enter off bye weeks. Georgia aims to rebound from a 27-24 home loss to Auburn, while Florida arrives after a 27-24 road upset of Texas. Georgia has won the last five meetings, each by 14 or more points.
The latest odds list Georgia as 11.5-point favorites (spread -12), with an over/under of 56.5 points. Georgia's money line is -455, Florida +360.
A projection model simulating the game 10,000 times favors the under on the total points, projecting 51 combined points. The model indicates the under hits 63% of the time. Both teams rank in the top 10 in scoring: Georgia averages 39.7 points per game, Florida 37.5.
Georgia's offense is led by quarterback Gunner Stockton (1,570 yards, 16 touchdowns). Florida's quarterback situation is uncertain with Aaron Philo (shoulder) and Tramell Jones Jr. both practicing; coach Jon Sumrall has not named a starter. Running back Jadan Baugh (763 yards, 13 touchdowns) is Florida's primary ground weapon.
Georgia's last four games have finished under the total, with only one opponent scoring more than 20 points. Florida's defense held Texas to 24 points after allowing 38 and 45 to South Carolina and Missouri respectively.
The model also suggests one side of the spread hits nearly 60% of the time. The model enters Week 9 on a 68-59 run on top-rated college football picks.
