NFL Week 8 betting trends show heavy favorites struggling against the spread, with favorites of -6 or more covering just 27.5% of the time this season (8-21-3 ATS). Five games meet that threshold this week: Jacksonville Jaguars (-10) vs. Indianapolis Colts, Dallas Cowboys (-7) vs. Arizona Cardinals, Cincinnati Bengals (-12.5) vs. Tennessee Titans, Los Angeles Rams (-6.5) vs. Los Angeles Chargers, and New England Patriots (-7) vs. Miami Dolphins.
Chiefs-Broncos Under Streak
Kansas City Chiefs vs. Denver Broncos has seen the under hit in each of the last seven meetings. The Week 8 spread has Kansas City favored by 1.5 points with a total of 40.5.
SportsLine Model Picks and Projections
SportsLine's simulation model, which has returned over $5,000 for $100 players on top-rated picks since 2024, enters Week 8 on a 58-51 run. The model's five-team parlay pays approximately 25-1 and includes the over 46.5 points in Jaguars vs. Colts, with a projected 56 combined points and a 66% over probability. For daily fantasy sports, the optimizer highlights Cowboys running back Javonte Williams and Bengals wide receiver Tee Higgins as top picks for the main Sunday slate. In fantasy football rankings, Jaguars tight end Brenton Strange is projected as a top-eight option at his position.
Expert Selections for Key Matchups
Larry Harstein (7-2 ATS over his last nine picks) backs the Detroit Lions (-3.5) to cover against the Minnesota Vikings, citing Brian Branch's defensive impact and Aaron Jones' knee injury for Minnesota. Emory Hunt (31-18-2 on his last 51 Eagles picks) favors the Washington Commanders (-6.5) over the Philadelphia Eagles, leaning under 40.5 points, noting the Eagles' offensive injuries including quarterback Jalen Hurts (blood clots) and wide receiver DeVonta Smith (hamstring). R.J. White, SportsLine's top NFL expert with over $2,700 profit since 2017, supports the Seattle Seahawks (-3) against the Chicago Bears, pointing to Seattle's elite pass defense and Chicago's league-worst 6.3 yards per play allowed.
