No. 4 Indiana (7-1) hosts Minnesota (4-2) at Memorial Stadium in Bloomington, Indiana, on Saturday at 3:30 p.m. ET for a Big Ten matchup broadcast on CBS and Paramount+.
The Hoosiers enter as 20.5-point favorites with an over/under of 40.5 points. Indiana is 1-7 against the spread this season, while Minnesota is 5-2 against the line.
The SportsLine Projection Model, which simulates each FBS game 10,000 times, projects the total to go over 40.5 points with 49 combined points expected. The model also has Indiana covering the spread in nearly 70% of simulations, rating it an A-grade pick.
Indiana quarterback Josh Hoover, the nation's leading returning passer from the transfer portal, has led the Hoosiers' high-powered offense. Minnesota's Drake Lindsey has completed 63.5% of his passes in his second season as starter.
The model entered Week 9 on a 68-59 run on top-rated college football picks, returning nearly $400 for $100 players.
