The Baltimore Ravens aim to snap a two-game losing streak when they host the Buffalo Bills in an NFL Week 8 matchup at New Highmark Stadium in Orchard Park, New York, with kickoff set for 1 p.m. ET. Quarterback Lamar Jackson returns after missing the past three games and carries no injury designation, rejoining an offense that also features running back Derrick Henry and wide receiver Zay Flowers.
The Bills enter as 3-point favorites with an over/under of 54.5 points, while Jackson's passing yardage prop is set at 237.5 yards. Buffalo leads the NFL in scoring at 32.8 points per game and is coming off its bye week, but the defense has allowed 28.5 points per game, the third-highest mark in the league.
A proven simulation model that runs 10,000 iterations per game projects the total to exceed 54.5 points, citing that the over has hit in all but one Bills game this season. The model, which has produced a 58-51 record on top-rated picks since 2024 and is up more than $5,000 for $100 players on those selections, forecasts 58 combined points and assigns a 55% value to the over.
Without Jackson, the Ravens managed only 13 and 10 points in their last two divisional losses. In Jackson's three full starts this season, Baltimore scored 41 and 34 points in two of those games, with those contests finishing with 65 and 64 total points. The model also indicates one side of the spread offers better value, though that specific selection was not disclosed.
