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NFL Week 9 Odds and Predictions: Computer Model Simulates 10,000 Times, Highlights Commanders and Chiefs as Top Picks

NFL Week 9 Odds and Predictions: Computer Model Simulates 10,000 Times, Highlights Commanders and Chiefs as Top Picks
World Sports · 23:28:36 - Wednesday, 4 November 2026

CBS Sports has released its Week 9 NFL odds and predictions, powered by a computer model that simulates each game 10,000 times. The model, which has returned more than $5,000 for $100 players on top-rated picks since its inception, entered Week 9 of the 2026 NFL season on a 60-51 run on top-rated picks dating back to 2024.

The schedule features several cross-conference matchups that could serve as Super Bowl previews, including Bills vs. Vikings (+3.5), Patriots vs. Packers (+3), Broncos vs. Panthers (+2.5), and Bengals vs. Falcons in Madrid (Cincinnati favored by 3). Other notable spreads include Chiefs vs. Jets (+9.5), 49ers vs. Raiders (+10), and Seahawks vs. Cardinals (+12.5).

Among the model's strongest picks: the Commanders (+5.5, total 47.5) cover at home against the Rams nearly 60% of the time. Washington is 3-1 against the spread in games Jayden Daniels has started and finished, leads the NFL in turnover differential at plus-seven, and averages over 140 rushing yards in Daniels' starts. The Rams allowed 234 rushing yards to a mobile quarterback in Josh Allen and the Bills in Week 5.

Another highlighted pick: the Chiefs (-9.5, total 47.5) cover versus the Jets at 1 p.m. ET. Kansas City has covered in both games as favorites of more than a touchdown this season and is 4-1 ATS over the last five such instances. The Jets are 2-4 ATS over their last six games as underdogs of more than a touchdown. Kansas City's No. 5 scoring defense faces New York's No. 25 scoring offense, with the Jets projected to gain just 3.8 yards per carry and Geno Smith failing to reach 200 passing yards.

The full Week 9 odds table includes spreads and totals for all 16 games, with the model providing four A-rated spread picks available exclusively at SportsLine.

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